Match Info

Challenge League - Round 33

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Maladière (Neuchâtel)

Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Zoom


	Neuchâtel Xamax		Aarau

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.6
	4.55	4.15	1.58
	4.92	4.38	1.62
	4.75	4.37	1.6	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	4.7	4.15	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 (4.6)	4.16 ↓ (4.44)	1.59 (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neuchâtel Xamax
20%

Draw
22.1%

Aarau
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

21%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

20.3%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aarau will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Xamax (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xamax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Omeragic E. (G) 16. Seydoux L. 36. Reinhard S. 5. Hajrulahu L. 3. Fontana J. 11. Ben Seghir S. 81. Carraco D. 4. Abedini E. (C) 99. Mulaj L. 20. Kone K. 9. Demhasaj S.	1. Hubel M. (G) 15. Muller S. 5. Acquah D. 2. Thaler M. (C) 29. Dickenmann M. 13. Zoukit N. 23. Frokaj L. 27. Obexer L. 10. Fazliu V. 9. Filet E. 18. Afriyie D.
Substitutes
35. Azemi A. 17. Bayard R. 21. Bergsma L. 7. Facchinetti M. 19. Hautier J. 94. Hottiger T. (G) 90. Nvendo Ferrier V. 2. Sidibe I. 34. Zahaj E.	6. Aliu I. 32. Bobadilla R. 14. Chacon T. 25. Derbaci D. 30. Hirzel A. (G) 8. Jackle O. 17. Koide H. 31. Petit V. 42. Senyurt B.
Coaches
Braizat A.	Iacopetta B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Reinhard S. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Filet E. ⚽, Zoukit N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Kone K. ⚽, Demhasaj S. (A),
55', Demhasaj S. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Obexer L. ⚽, Afriyie D. (A),
65', 1 - 3, Filet E. ⚽, Muller S. (A),
67', Carraco D. ↓, Bayard R. ↑,
67', Mulaj L. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
70', Zoukit N. 🟨,
74', Fontana J. ↓, Nvendo Ferrier V. ↑,
78', Frokaj L. ↓, Aliu I. ↑,
78', Afriyie D. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
85', Kone K. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
85', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Zahaj E. ↑,
86', Obexer L. 🟨,
88', Filet E. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
88', Fazliu V. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
90+3', Obexer L. ↓, Senyurt B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Aarau is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Xamax: Bayard R. (Injury) Deme M. (Injury) Epitaux Y. (Yellow Cards) Sacramento dos Santos G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aarau	9	3	3	3	14:16	-2	12
6	Xamax	9	4	0	5	12:17	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
26.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Yverdon - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	4:1 ✺
07.04.26	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	5:2 ✺
03.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLL
- FC Aarau
Swiss Challenge League
25.04.26	Wil 1900 - Aarau	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Aarau - Lausanne Ouchy	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bellinzona - Aarau	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Aarau - Étoile Carouge	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Aarau	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
21.03.26	Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:0
28.11.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:2
09.08.25	Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:0
11.04.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:1
07.03.25	Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:0
13.12.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:3
03.08.24	Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:3

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