Match Info
Premier League - Round 15Date: 26 December 2025, FridayLocation: Stade du 4 Août (Ouagadougou)
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Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou |
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AS SONABEL |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.13 |
2.82 |
2.39 |
 Watch |
 |
3.18 |
2.77 |
2.35 |
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 |
3.14 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↑
(3.14) |
2.8
(2.8) |
2.35 ↑
(2.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
28.8% | Draw
32.5% | AS SONABEL
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)AS SONABEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS SONABEL than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS SONABEL Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', 1 - 0, Ouedraogo O. ⚽, Sare N. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Ouedraogo V. A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 87', 1 - 2, Kahan M. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 2.Étoile Filante has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).SONABEL's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Étoile Filante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. SONABEL is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. We predict that SONABEL will win today's game, with odds of 2.33.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Étoile Filante won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Burkina Faso Premier League | | | 07.03.25 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS SONABEL | 1:1 | | 28.11.24 | AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 2:0 | | 21.02.24 | AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 1:0 | | 13.05.23 | AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 0:2 | | 24.09.22 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS SONABEL | 1:0 | | 23.04.22 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS SONABEL | 3:1 | | 24.10.21 | AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 0:0 |
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