Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Olympique de Sousse (Sousse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Étoile du Sahel		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	4.85	3	1.75
	6.94	3.08	1.65
	5.55	2.76	1.83	Watch
	5.5	3	1.67
	5.18	3.42	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (3.86)	3.05 ↑ (2.99)	1.72 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile du Sahel
16.4%

Draw
30.1%

Espérance ST
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

30.4%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Étoile du Sahel's form might have worsened.

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espérance ST's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Espérance ST will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Ben Hessen S. (G) 8. Abid O. 30. Anane R. 25. Ben Choug F. 33. Dagdoug H. 6. Gbo C. 5. Hnid N. 21. Kechrida W. 3. Naouali G. 2. Omija A. 11. Senghor M.	32. Ben Said B. (G) 2. Ben Ali M. 20. Ben Hamida M. 22. Danho F. 4. Haj Ali M. 31. Jebali C. 6. Jelassi H. 23. Keita I. 14. Ogbelu O. 8. Tka H. 10. Yan Sasse
Substitutes
20. Ben Abdallah Y. 38. Benmazouz M. 10. Ben Seghaier M. 19. Bouslama M. 26. Boutmene Z. . Ferjani N. 22. Horchani A. 23. Ouertani M. A. 1. Youssef K. (G)	. Derbali M. 29. Diakite A. 27. Guenichi K. 18. Hmidhi A. 19. Jabri A. 21. Konate A. 12. Laifi N. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 24. Rafia H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 0.

Espérance ST is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Espérance ST is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 8:27. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile du Sahel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Esperance Tunis	4	3	0	1	7:6	1	9
10	Etoile Sahel	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.03.26	Stade Tunisien - Étoile du Sahel	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Étoile du Sahel - Soliman	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	JS Kairouan - Étoile du Sahel	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Étoile du Sahel - Monastir	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Gabès - Étoile du Sahel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWT
- Espérance ST
CAF Champions League
21.03.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
07.03.26	Espérance ST - Marsa	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Olympique Béja - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
25.02.26	Métlaoui - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.10.25	Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel	1:0
26.02.25	Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel	3:0
03.11.24	Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST	0:2
12.05.24	Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel	3:2
10.03.24	Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST	0:1
CAF Champions League
24.02.24	Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST	0:2
25.11.23	Espérance ST - Étoile du Sahel	2:0

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