Match Info
Tunisia Cup - 1/8-finalsDate: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Metlaoui Municipal stadium (Metlaoui)
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Métlaoui |
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Espérance ST |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.95 |
3.15 |
1.68 |
|
 |
25.00 |
7.79 |
1.09 |
 Watch |
 |
5.26 |
3.13 |
1.69 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.74 ↑
(5.36) |
4.69 ↑
(3.1) |
1.49 ↓
(1.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Métlaoui
8.8% | Draw
22% | Espérance ST
69.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Métlaoui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Métlaoui's form might have worsened.Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espérance ST's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Métlaoui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-19.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espérance ST, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Métlaoui - Espérance ST Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Tka H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 0 - 2, Jabri A. ⚽,
- 60', 0 - 3, Boualia K. ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 3, Fadaa R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 0.Métlaoui is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Espérance ST has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Métlaoui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Espérance ST is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).Including home matches between the teams, Métlaoui won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 | | | 25.02.26 | Métlaoui - Espérance ST | 1:1 | | 16.09.25 | Espérance ST - Métlaoui | 2:0 | | 12.02.25 | Espérance ST - Métlaoui | 3:2 | | 03.10.24 | Métlaoui - Espérance ST | 1:1 | | 12.11.23 | Métlaoui - Espérance ST | 0:2 | | 02.09.23 | Espérance ST - Métlaoui | 3:2 | | 18.04.22 | Métlaoui - Espérance ST | 1:2 |
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