The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar 30.5%
Draw 25.2%
Keflavík 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
25.1%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
24.4%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
8.3%
83.3%
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Keflavík Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. ÍBV will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Keflavík will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Keflavík: 62.2% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Petersen A. (G) 23. Kristinsson A. 2. Magnusson S. 4. Edeland M. 22. Runarsson E. 8. Gunnarsson B. 6. Tomic M. 25. Hilmarsson A. (C) 7. Hardarson S. 80. Thordarson H. 27. Hlynsson R.
1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 4. Heras N. (C) 20. Brigic M. 22. Magnusson A. 8. Baxter B. 5. Aronsson D. 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Valsson D. 11. Al Ghoul M. 10. Ljubicic S.
Substitutes
17. Gautason E. 14. Gunnarsson A. 9. Jeffs L. 5. Kristjansson S. 28. Magnusson H. 42. Pisco 67. Sowe O. 10. Valgeirsson V. 30. Valor V.
15. Adalbjorssnos A. 9. Al Ghoul H. 30. Basic M. (G) 18. Bjarnason E. 25. Elvarsson F. 47. Karlsson E. 6. Magnusson S. 14. Mudrazija M. 19. Osmani E.
Coaches
Linta A.
Gudmundsson H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Hardarson S. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Hlynsson R. ⚽, Gunnarsson B. (A),
18', Aronsson D. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Thordarson H. ⚽, Hilmarsson A. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Valsson D. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Hilmarsson A. ⚽, Gunnarsson B. (A),
51', 4 - 0, Tomic M. ⚽, Gunnarsson B. (A),
56', Aronsson D. ↓, Magnusson S. ↑,
59', Thordarson H. ↓, Valgeirsson V. ↑,
59', Hardarson S. ↓, Valor V. ↑,
61', 4 - 1, Al Ghoul M. ⚽, Baxter B. (A),
63', Magnusson S. 🟨,
67', 5 - 1, Hlynsson R. ⚽, Valgeirsson V. (A),
69', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Al Ghoul H. ↑,
69', Baxter B. ↓, Elvarsson F. ↑,
77', Hilmarsson A. ↓, Sowe O. ↑,
80', Ljubicic S. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
83', Sowe O. 🟨,
85', 6 - 1, Sowe O. ⚽,
86', Hlynsson R. ↓, Gautason E. ↑,
86', Gunnarsson B. ↓, Magnusson H. ↑,
87', Elvarsson F. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 1.
ÍBV is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Keflavík is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Keflavík will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, ÍBV won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).