Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mellringe IP (Örebro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Örebro Syrianska		Vasalund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.9	4.55	1.42
	6.16	4.93	1.43
	1.00	1.00	1.01	Watch
	6.54	4.65	1.4	Watch
	4.3	4.4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (4.45)	3.91 ↓ (4.65)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro Syrianska
17.4%

Draw
21.3%

Vasalund
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

19.8%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

19.4%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro Syrianska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Vasalund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro Syrianska than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Örebro Syrianska - Vasalund Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasalund (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Franck O. (G) 23. Bangala D. 3. Conta S. (C) 20. Hassan H. 24. Ilunga D. P. 5. Jusic A. 6. Nilsson H. 14. Shagaxle H. 8. Smajic A. 19. Vikgren L. 27. Yonsian F.	25. Graasvoll T. (G) 7. Duranic A. 12. Ersoy G. 21. Jajic D. 42. Kalabane A. 11. Karlberg D. (C) 5. Norberg C. 13. Ozgun M. 4. Stojanovic Fredin O. 2. Torppa E. 19. Wikman S.
Substitutes
11. Fousseni B. 9. Hadad R. 17. Ilia P. 42. Sampson C. 22. Spanedal I. 16. Sylla M. 4. Warme C.	8. Amos P. 18. Azizovic A. 30. Lysgard I. (G) 6. Maripuu N. 10. Nikolic M. 20. Padovan A. 9. Segura Bonilla J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Torppa E. ⚽,
45+1', Wikman S. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Duranic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Nilsson H. ↓, Fousseni B. ↑,
58', Torppa E. ↓, Nikolic M. ↑,
62', Ilunga D. P. ↓, Hadad R. ↑,
62', Yonsian F. ↓, Spanedal I. ↑,
63', Shagaxle H. ↓, Ilia P. ↑,
70', Ilia P. 🟨,
72', Duranic A. ↓, Azizovic A. ↑,
72', Wikman S. ↓, Amos P. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Kalabane A. ⚽,
78', Hassan H. ↓, Warme C. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Amos P. ⚽, Karlberg D. (A),
81', Karlberg D. ↓, Padovan A. ↑,
81', Ersoy G. ↓, Segura Bonilla J. ↑,
88', 0 - 5, (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro Syrianska won 0.

Örebro Syrianska has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Vasalund has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Vasalund is a strong favorite.

We predict that Vasalund will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Örebro Syrianska won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Örebro Syrianska won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro Syrianska IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.09.25	Haninge - Örebro Syrianska	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sollentuna - Örebro Syrianska	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Örebro Syrianska - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Örebro Syrianska	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Örebro Syrianska - Hammarby TFF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.09.25	Vasalund - Assyriska Föreningen	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Team TG - Vasalund	0:5 ✺
31.08.25	Vasalund - Enköping	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Karlstad - Vasalund	2:3 ✺
15.08.25	Sollentuna - Vasalund	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.06.25	Vasalund - Örebro Syrianska	3:0
31.08.24	Örebro Syrianska - Vasalund	0:0
04.05.24	Vasalund - Örebro Syrianska	2:0
16.09.23	Vasalund - Örebro Syrianska	2:0
27.05.23	Örebro Syrianska - Vasalund	0:1
04.09.22	Örebro Syrianska - Vasalund	1:2
30.04.22	Vasalund - Örebro Syrianska	2:1

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