The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karlstad 49.6%
Draw 26%
Vasalund 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
26.2%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
25.9%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlstad's performance.
Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasalund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlstad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasalund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Karlstad - Vasalund Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Karlsson M. (G) 2. Beko S. 7. Bellman H. 11. Bengtsson J. 21. Gustafsson K. 14. Hook I. 12. Miguel W. 24. Nfansu D. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 23. Rhose L. 6. Zurmati S.
1. Olafsson S. (G) 7. Amos P. 21. Bajrovic M. (C) 3. Bjorklund K. 6. Lundvall L. 9. Mac Callum E. 10. Nikolic M. 28. Ostergren M. 14. Sliwo C. 12. Torppa E. 22. Vucenovic M.
Substitutes
26. Alfonsi D. 9. Carstrom J. 28. Djerlek A. 13. Henareh D. (G) 17. Jatta N. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 16. Modou F.
24. Bilgec B. 4. Degerlund M. 25. Graasvoll T. (G) 2. Kallman L. 15. Lukic F. 5. Soelberg P. 26. Westin T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Nilsson King E. ⚽,
22', Bjorklund K. 🟨,
33', Torppa E. 🟨,
37', Bjorklund K. ↓, Westin T. ↑,
45+1', 2 - 0, Miguel W. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bellman H. ↓, Djerlek A. ↑,
46', Vucenovic M. ↓, Kallman L. ↑,
59', Lundvall L. 🟨,
59', Bengtsson J. ↓, Carstrom J. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Carstrom J. ⚽,
63', Lundvall L. ↓, Degerlund M. ↑,
63', Amos P. ↓, Bilgec B. ↑,
71', Miguel W. ↓, Modou F. ↑,
80', Rhose L. ↓, Alfonsi D. ↑,
80', Gustafsson K. ↓, Jatta N. ↑,
80', Bajrovic M. ↓, Lukic F. ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Modou F. ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 0, Nfansu D. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 3.
Karlstad is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vasalund has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Karlstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Karlstad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).
Sweden
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Karlsson M. (G) 
Nfansu D. 
Zurmati S. 
Olafsson S. (G) 
Amos P. 
Bajrovic M. (C) 
Djerlek A. 
Modou F. 
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