Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Örgryte		Dalkurd

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.72	3.7	4.5
	1.69	3.65	4.5
	1.74	3.97	4.77
	1.7	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.72	3.98	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.95)	3.74 ↑ (3.2)	4.56 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
54.6%

Draw
25%

Dalkurd
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Örgryte's performance.

Dalkurd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalkurd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Örgryte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalkurd than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	10.3%	13.8%

Örgryte - Dalkurd Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Dalkurd will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örgryte: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Örgryte is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Örgryte won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
24.05.22	IFK Östersunds - Örgryte	0:0 ✺
18.05.22	Örgryte - Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
14.05.22	Norrby - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Brage - Örgryte	4:0 ✺
01.05.22	Örgryte - Utsikten	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLL
- Dalkurd FF
Swedish Superettan
22.05.22	Dalkurd - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
19.05.22	Brage - Dalkurd	0:0 ✺
13.05.22	Dalkurd - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
08.05.22	Utsikten - Dalkurd	3:0 ✺
02.05.22	Dalkurd - Öster	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
17.10.20	Örgryte - Dalkurd	1:2
29.07.20	Dalkurd - Örgryte	0:0
28.10.19	Örgryte - Dalkurd	0:0
28.05.19	Dalkurd - Örgryte	3:2
26.08.17	Dalkurd - Örgryte	2:1
12.06.17	Örgryte - Dalkurd	1:0
27.09.16	Dalkurd - Örgryte	2:0

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