Match Info

Superettan - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Buqa F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 7, Max, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33
	1.87	3.5	3.6
	1.84	3.72	3.97	Watch
	1.86	3.79	4.24
	1.81	3.67	4.15	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.81	3.84	4.06	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	3.89 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
50.1%

Draw
25.8%

Trelleborg
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trelleborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	11.5%	7.7%

Örgryte - Trelleborg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Örgryte (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 3. Azulay J. 6. Dyrestam M. 5. Styffe C. 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C. 8. Mujanic A. 15. Dahlqvist I. 14. Paulson D. (C) 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.	1. Larsen A. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. (C) 15. Godwin E. 21. Alievski E. 16. Asani A. 10. Vidjeskog A. 22. Martinsson F. 17. Bohman F. 8. Ruuska O.
Substitutes
28. Ahmed I. 19. Andreasson A. 10. Barkroth N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 20. Karlsson M. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L.	27. Baraslievski A. 9. Jaf E. 25. Lofberg E. 23. Mattsson L. 12. Nilsson M. (G) 4. Rehn A.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Jacobsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Horberg F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Karlsson T. (Own goal),
69', Svensson W. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
74', Vindehall C. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
77', Ruuska O. ↓, Mattsson L. ↑,
86', Paulson D. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
89', Ahmed I. 🟨,
90', Martinsson F. ↓, Rehn A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Barkroth N. ⚽, Mujanic A. (A),
90+3', Weberg C. ↓, Jaf E. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 0.

Örgryte is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Trelleborg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trelleborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Örgryte is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
26.05.25	Umeå - Örgryte	3:3 ✺
21.05.25	Örgryte - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
16.05.25	Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS	5:1 ✺
12.05.25	Landskrona - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Örgryte - Falkenberg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWWTW
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
27.05.25	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	5:0 ✺
11.05.25	Kalmar - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
06.10.24	Trelleborg - Örgryte	1:0
22.05.24	Örgryte - Trelleborg	1:2
22.10.23	Örgryte - Trelleborg	0:2
17.04.23	Trelleborg - Örgryte	2:0
12.09.22	Trelleborg - Örgryte	2:1
18.05.22	Örgryte - Trelleborg	1:2
18.10.21	Örgryte - Trelleborg	2:2

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