Match Info

Date: 19 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Hansson F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Brage		Dalkurd

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.75
	1.6	3.85	5.2
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.66	4.05	5.35
	1.6	3.6	4.8	Watch
	1.65	4.1	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	3.86 ↓ (4.1)	5.02 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
57.3%

Draw
24.1%

Dalkurd
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Dalkurd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalkurd than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Brage - Dalkurd Predictions

Users Predictions: Brage will win (36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 99.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brage won 0.

Brage is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dalkurd is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Brage is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brage won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Brage won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
15.05.22	IFK Östersunds - Brage	1:3 ✺
08.05.22	Brage - Örgryte	4:0 ✺
30.04.22	Trelleborg - Brage	2:2 ✺
24.04.22	Brage - Brommapojkarna	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	Brage - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTWL
- Dalkurd FF
Swedish Superettan
13.05.22	Dalkurd - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
08.05.22	Utsikten - Dalkurd	3:0 ✺
02.05.22	Dalkurd - Öster	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	IFK Östersunds - Dalkurd	1:0 ✺
18.04.22	Dalkurd - Halmstad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.02.22	Brage - Dalkurd	2:4
Swedish Superettan
20.09.20	Dalkurd - Brage	1:1
24.08.20	Brage - Dalkurd	2:1
15.09.19	Brage - Dalkurd	3:1
16.05.19	Dalkurd - Brage	1:3
Swedish Division 1 Norra
28.09.15	Brage - Dalkurd	1:4
02.05.15	Dalkurd - Brage	2:1

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