Match Info

Superettan - Round 25

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Karlsson N. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Landskrona

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.48	4.65	5.7	Watch
	1.5	4.83	6.12
	1.21	6.48	11.13	Watch
	1.5	4.55	5.73	Watch
	1.61	4.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	4.87 ↑ (4.48)	6.46 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
65.4%

Draw
19.7%

Landskrona
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

20.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

19.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Örgryte's performance.

Landskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Landskrona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Örgryte - Landskrona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Örgryte (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Örgryte (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 25. Renecke W. 15. Dahlqvist I. 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. 14. Paulson D. (C) 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.	30. Pettersson M. (G) 21. Jensen K. 18. Perez A. 4. Bruzelius G. 12. Jonsson M. (C) 16. Rahmani R. 11. Bjorkqvist M. 6. Nasstrom H. 10. Capotondi C. 15. Mohamed M. 20. Odhiambo X.
Substitutes
10. Barkroth N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 17. Hofvander W. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L. (G) 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C.	31. Andersson A. (G) 17. Elezaj G. 7. Karlsson V. 28. Milosevic M. 23. Nilsson M. 22. Stark C. 3. Weststrom G.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Asterhed R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Dahlqvist I. (A),
38', Bjorkqvist M. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Sana T. ⚽, Christoffersson N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Bjorkqvist M. ↓, Elezaj G. ↑,
62', Mohamed M. ↓, Stark C. ↑,
65', Stark C. 🟨,
69', Odhiambo X. ↓, Karlsson V. ↑,
75', Paulson D. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
75', Andreasson A. ↓, Hofvander W. ↑,
80', Renecke W. ↓, Dahlqvist H. ↑,
83', Perez A. ↓, Weststrom G. ↑,
86', Mujanic A. ↓, Vindehall C. ↑,
86', Sana T. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
90+3', Nasstrom H. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 2.

Örgryte is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Landskrona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Örgryte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Örgryte is considered a favorite.

We predict that Örgryte will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
25.09.25	Trelleborg - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Helsingborg - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Utsikten - Örgryte	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Örgryte - Brage	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWT
- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
24.09.25	Landskrona - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Utsikten - Landskrona	4:0 ✺
16.09.25	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Landskrona - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Trelleborg - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
12.05.25	Landskrona - Örgryte	1:1
19.09.24	Örgryte - Landskrona	2:1
24.06.24	Landskrona - Örgryte	4:3
11.11.23	Landskrona - Örgryte	1:2
06.06.23	Örgryte - Landskrona	0:1
03.09.22	Örgryte - Landskrona	0:1
25.04.22	Landskrona - Örgryte	3:2

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