Match Info

Superettan - Round 24

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Landskrona Idrottsplats (Landskrona)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Landskrona		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.67	Watch
	4.55	3.7	1.72	Watch
	4.88	3.84	1.76
	4.4	3.7	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.4)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	1.73 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Landskrona
20.5%

Draw
25.3%

Kalmar
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

24.4%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

24.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Landskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Landskrona's form might have worsened.

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kalmar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Landskrona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kalmar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Landskrona - Kalmar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Landskrona will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Kalmar will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Kalmar (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Kalmar (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.26) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Kalmar (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kalmar will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pettersson M. (G) 21. Jensen K. 18. Perez A. 12. Jonsson M. (C) 16. Rahmani R. 5. Egnell A. 23. Nilsson M. 10. Capotondi C. 11. Bjorkqvist M. 20. Odhiambo X. 15. Mohamed M.	30. Kindberg J. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 6. Sjostedt R. 33. Mamatsashvili S. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 17. Gustafsson C. 37. Kalinauskas T. 10. Jebara C. 70. Chukwuemeka Emeka
Substitutes
17. Elezaj G. 14. Hebibovic E. 1. Kaddoura A. (G) 7. Karlsson V. 28. Milosevic M. 6. Nasstrom H. 3. Weststrom G.	32. Andersson C. (G) 7. Atanga I. 21. Magashy A. 11. Olusanya A. 23. R. Gojani 20. Sosseh G. 9. Stolt M.
Coaches
Asterhed R.	Koskela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Motaraghebjafarpour A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Chukwuemeka Emeka 🟨,
68', Jensen K. 🟨,
69', Gustafsson C. ↓, Sosseh G. ↑,
69', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
69', Chukwuemeka Emeka ↓, Stolt M. ↑,
69', Sjostedt R. ↓, R. Gojani ↑,
75', Mohamed M. ↓, Nasstrom H. ↑,
89', Egnell A. ↓, Elezaj G. ↑,
90+3', Pettersson M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Recent performances by Landskrona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalmar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Landskrona has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kalmar is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Landskrona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
20.09.25	Utsikten - Landskrona	4:0 ✺
16.09.25	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Landskrona - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Trelleborg - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sandviken - Landskrona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLW
- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
20.09.25	Kalmar - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Kalmar - Västerås SK	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Östersund - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
26.08.25	Kalmar - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Umeå - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
14.06.25	Kalmar - Landskrona	3:2
Svenska Cupen
26.02.17	Landskrona - Kalmar	2:2

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