Match Info

Superettan - Round 24

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	3.8	4	1.8	Watch
				Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.88	Watch
	3.74	4.05	1.91
	3.62	3.76	1.90	Watch
	3.69	3.92	1.87	Watch
	3.25	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.19)	3.88 ↑ (3.78)	1.89 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
26%

Draw
24.3%

Örgryte
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

24.6%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	5.3%	89.5%

Trelleborg - Örgryte Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Örgryte (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 17 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 5. Ogwuche A. 3. Weberg C. (C) 15. Godwin E. 10. Vidjeskog A. 24. Christiansson V. 6. Wendt K. 8. Ruuska O. 45. Dalugge Z. 22. Martinsson F.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 3. Azulay J. (C) 6. Dyrestam M. 5. Styffe C. 15. Dahlqvist I. 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. 17. Hofvander W. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.
Substitutes
21. Alievski E. 7. Andersson J. 16. Asani A. 50. Brandin O. 35. Mehmeti A. 14. Nehme A. 4. Rehn A.	10. Barkroth N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 21. Kenndal W. 14. Paulson D. 12. Samuelsson L. (G) 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C.
Coaches
Haynes K.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Dalugge Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Ruuska O. ↓, Nehme A. ↑,
69', Andreasson A. 🟨,
70', Hofvander W. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
70', Andreasson A. ↓, Paulson D. ↑,
76', Wendt K. ↓, Asani A. ↑,
76', Martinsson F. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Christoffersson N. ⚽,
84', Godwin E. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Sana T. ⚽, Paulson D. (A),
88', Styffe C. ↓, Dahlqvist H. ↑,
89', Sana T. ↓, Vindehall C. ↑,
89', Christoffersson N. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 4.

Trelleborg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Örgryte is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Örgryte will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trelleborg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Örgryte - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.22%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
20.09.25	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Trelleborg - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Brage - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Trelleborg - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
20.09.25	Helsingborg - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Utsikten - Örgryte	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Örgryte - Brage	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Örebro - Örgryte	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
31.05.25	Örgryte - Trelleborg	2:0
06.10.24	Trelleborg - Örgryte	1:0
22.05.24	Örgryte - Trelleborg	1:2
22.10.23	Örgryte - Trelleborg	0:2
17.04.23	Trelleborg - Örgryte	2:0
12.09.22	Trelleborg - Örgryte	2:1
18.05.22	Örgryte - Trelleborg	1:2

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