Match Info

Superettan - Round 28

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.68	3.65	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.65	2.5
	2.39	3.78	2.49	Watch
	2.57	3.77	2.42	Watch
	2.33	3.66	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.4)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
36.8%

Draw
25.1%

Västerås SK
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

24.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

24%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	42.9%	21.4%

Örgryte - Västerås SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Västerås SK will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 2 - 25%). Västerås SK (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 25. Renecke W. 14. Paulson D. (C) 8. Mujanic A. 7. Vindehall C. 23. Parker-Price O. 15. Dahlqvist I. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.	1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 21. Wernersson V. 11. Gefvert S. 10. Ring J. 8. Diagne M. 44. Larsson M. 5. Gunnarsson K. 9. Ladefoged M. 17. Axel T.
Substitutes
19. Andreasson A. 3. Azulay J. 10. Barkroth N. 17. Hofvander W. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L. (G) 24. Svensson W.	4. Bonde P. 27. Diallo M. 42. Hartzell T. 34. Jager E. (G) 6. Johansson S. 19. Magnusson J. 7. Ribeiro P.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Karlsson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Ladefoged M. ⚽, Larsson M. (A),
34', Styffe C. 🟨,
43', Gefvert S. 🟨,
45', Vindehall C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Larsson M. 🟨,
58', Vindehall C. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Axel T. ⚽,
69', Larsson M. ↓, Bonde P. ↑,
69', Ladefoged M. ↓, Magnusson J. ↑,
71', Paulson D. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
71', Renecke W. ↓, Hofvander W. ↑,
80', Parker-Price O. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
84', Wernersson V. ↓, Hartzell T. ↑,
90+5', Mujanic A. 🟨,
90+5', Diagne M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
90+5', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 1.

Örgryte is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Västerås SK is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Örgryte has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
18.10.25	Falkenberg - Örgryte	3:0 ✺
06.10.25	Sandviken - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Örgryte - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Trelleborg - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Helsingborg - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWW
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
18.10.25	Västerås SK - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Östersund - Västerås SK	1:6 ✺
28.09.25	Västerås SK - Sandviken	3:0 ✺
25.09.25	Umeå - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Västerås SK - Oddevold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
08.04.25	Västerås SK - Örgryte	1:1
04.11.23	Örgryte - Västerås SK	1:0
10.04.23	Västerås SK - Örgryte	0:0
27.08.22	Västerås SK - Örgryte	1:1
26.07.22	Örgryte - Västerås SK	1:1
30.10.21	Västerås SK - Örgryte	2:2
01.05.21	Örgryte - Västerås SK	1:1

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