Match Info

Superettan - Round 27

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Falkenberg		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.2	3.8	2
	3.44	4.17	1.98
	4.19	3.93	1.73	Watch
	3.21	3.74	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.99)	3.88 ↑ (3.72)	1.94 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
26.9%

Draw
24.3%

Örgryte
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.2%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

24.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Örgryte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Falkenberg - Örgryte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 18. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 19. Lindberg O. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 17. Sibelius L. 22. Ekblom V. 21. Andersson A.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 3. Azulay J. 25. Renecke W. 15. Dahlqvist I. 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Mujanic A. 14. Paulson D. (C) 17. Hofvander W. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.
Substitutes
5. Hansson N. 26. Hindi S. 2. Johansson G. 16. Kallstrom H. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 10. Shahin L. 14. Shears I.	19. Andreasson A. 10. Barkroth N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 6. Dyrestam M. 12. Samuelsson L. (G) 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C.
Coaches
Andersson C.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Renecke W. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Ekblom V. ⚽,
61', Hofvander W. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
69', Borgstrom L. ↓, Johansson G. ↑,
69', Lindberg O. ↓, Kallstrom H. ↑,
70', Renecke W. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
70', Paulson D. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Stalheden T. ⚽,
82', Sibelius L. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,
86', Parker-Price O. ↓, Vindehall C. ↑,
88', Andersson A. ↓, Shears I. ↑,
88', Ekblom V. ↓, Shahin L. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Kallstrom H. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 1.

Falkenberg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Örgryte is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Örgryte is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Falkenberg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Örgryte - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
05.10.25	Örebro - Falkenberg	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Falkenberg - Östersund	4:0 ✺
24.09.25	Oddevold - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Falkenberg - Sundsvall	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Falkenberg - Utsikten	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
06.10.25	Sandviken - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Örgryte - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Trelleborg - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Helsingborg - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
04.05.25	Örgryte - Falkenberg	4:2
03.10.21	Örgryte - Falkenberg	1:1
08.05.21	Falkenberg - Örgryte	3:2
Club Friendly
02.02.19	Örgryte - Falkenberg	2:0
Swedish Superettan
07.08.18	Falkenberg - Örgryte	1:1
03.06.18	Örgryte - Falkenberg	1:1
Club Friendly
24.02.18	Örgryte - Falkenberg	1:0

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