Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Visma Arena (Växjö)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Öster		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.4	4.33	6.75
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.38	5.26	7
	1.41	4.94	6.75
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.42	4.55	7.07	Watch
	1.41	4.3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)	4.57 ↓ (5.36)	6.9 ↓ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Öster
66.3%

Draw
20.3%

Gefle
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

17.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

16.6%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

The chances for Gefle have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Öster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Öster - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Öster will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gefle will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 17. Herdonsson A. 5. Adolfsson M. 4. Starke Hedlund S. 21. Bergquist L. 18. Ljung D. 8. Kusu M. 7. Seger D. 10. Morfelt C. 20. Aliev A. 19. Bergmark-Wiberg A.	27. Johansson T. (G) 7. Edqvist A. 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. 16. Persson K. 24. Rafael Y. 44. Ranera I. 6. Browning L. 35. Adrian S. 9. Hjelte J. 10. Yakoub A.
Substitutes
22. Gabrielsson O. 24. Johansson T. 32. Lundahl Persson C. (G) 23. Rodic V. 9. Soderberg N. 2. Thorisson T. 33. Varmanen T.	2. Adel I. 18. Capotondi C. 14. Friman S. P. 5. Hakansson N. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A. 8. Lundin A.
Coaches
Foyston M.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Adrian S. 🟨,
45+4', Bergquist L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ljung D. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
63', Morfelt C. ↓, Rodic V. ↑,
70', Adrian S. ↓, Capotondi C. ↑,
77', Hjelte J. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
79', Aliev A. 🟨,
81', Browning L. 🟨,
85', Seger D. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
86', Yakoub A. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
86', Ranera I. ↓, Hakansson N. ↑,
86', Starke Hedlund S. 🟨,
87', Bergmark-Wiberg A. ↓, Gabrielsson O. ↑,
90', Johansson T. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Öster won 1.

Recent matches Öster is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gefle is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Öster is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Öster won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Öster won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östers IF
Swedish Superettan
27.04.24	Örgryte - Öster	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Sandviken - Öster	1:0 ✺
16.04.24	Öster - Örebro	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Varbergs BoIS - Öster	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	Öster - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWWT
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
27.04.24	Gefle - Sandviken	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Oddevold - Gefle	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Utsikten - Gefle	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Gefle - Helsingborg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
12.08.23	Öster - Gefle	1:2
10.06.23	Gefle - Öster	3:2
30.09.18	Öster - Gefle	0:0
16.06.18	Gefle - Öster	2:4
12.08.17	Öster - Gefle	1:1
18.05.17	Gefle - Öster	1:3
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.10.13	Öster - Gefle	1:4

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