Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Buqa F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Gefle		Sandviken

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.85	3.2	2.3
	2.35	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.94	3.35	2.48
	2.94	3.35	2.43
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.9	3.38	2.36	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.32)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	2.43 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
33.6%

Draw
28.2%

Sandviken
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gefle's form might have worsened.

Sandviken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sandviken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gefle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sandviken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Gefle - Sandviken Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sandviken will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jonsson O. (G) 16. Persson K. 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 18. Capotondi C. 44. Ranera I. 35. Adrian S. 11. Englund L. 9. Hjelte J.	1. Jakobsson F. (G) 21. Kiani A. 45. Harletun K. 23. Engqvist E. (C) 17. Kouyate M. 8. Soderberg D. 11. Springfeldt M. 15. Igbarumah J. 10. Thorell L. 29. Kabuye C. 18. Kirby J.
Substitutes
14. Friman S. P. 5. Hakansson N. 20. Hjelm A. 27. Johansson T. (G) 23. Lattman A. 8. Lundin A. 10. Yakoub A.	14. Byiringiro L. 4. Karlsson J. 19. Mukunzi Y. 9. Mutic A. 6. Vabo L. 7. Vikgren L. 33. Wennergrund T. (G)
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Abdulic E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Kirby J. ⚽, Kiani A. (A),
29', Springfeldt M. 🟨,
32', Kiani A. 🟨,
35', Rafael Y. 🟨,
37', Springfeldt M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Kirby J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Capotondi C. ↓, Yakoub A. ↑,
50', Hjelte J. 🟨,
62', Kiani A. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
62', Soderberg D. ↓, Vabo L. ↑,
70', Rafael Y. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
76', Kirby J. ↓, Mukunzi Y. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Rauschenberg M. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Englund L. ⚽,
84', Kabuye C. ↓, Vikgren L. ↑,
84', Igbarumah J. ↓, Mutic A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gefle won 2.

Gefle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sandviken is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gefle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
21.04.24	Oddevold - Gefle	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Utsikten - Gefle	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Gefle - Helsingborg	2:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
03.03.24	Gefle - Örebro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLL
- Sandvikens IF
Swedish Superettan
20.04.24	Sandviken - Öster	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Trelleborg - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Sandviken - Örebro	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Landskrona - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.03.24	Sandviken - Sollentuna	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.08.22	Gefle - Sandviken	2:1
04.06.22	Sandviken - Gefle	2:2
28.08.21	Gefle - Sandviken	1:0
19.06.21	Sandviken - Gefle	2:0
18.09.20	Gefle - Sandviken	1:1
02.09.20	Sandviken - Gefle	1:1
17.08.19	Sandviken - Gefle	4:1

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