Match Info

Date: 30 August 2020, Sunday


	Øygarden		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.45
	5	4.1	1.5
	5.4	4.25	1.52	Watch
	5.6	4.3	1.48
	5.84	4.46	1.52
	6.5	4	1.47
	7.8	3.55	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (4.88)	4.14 ↑ (4.02)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Øygarden
15.3%

Draw
22.5%

Lillestrøm SK
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.1%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

18.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Øygarden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Øygarden than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lillestrøm SK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Øygarden - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone OBOStoligaen (Relegation) and 6 in the zone Promotion to OBOStoligaen (Play Offs)).

Øygarden is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lillestrøm is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lillestrøm is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Øygarden FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.08.20	Sogndal - Øygarden	2:0 ✺
24.08.20	Øygarden - Jerv	1:0 ✺
17.08.20	Strømmen - Øygarden	2:2 ✺
14.08.20	Ranheim - Øygarden	6:1 ✺
10.08.20	Øygarden - Stjørdals-Blink	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLL
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.08.20	Lillestrøm SK - Strømmen	1:0 ✺
24.08.20	Kongsvinger - Lillestrøm SK	0:3 ✺
17.08.20	Lillestrøm SK - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
14.08.20	Lillestrøm SK - Ullensaker Kisa	2:2 ✺
11.08.20	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTTW

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