The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lillestrøm SK 39.3%
Draw 24.2%
Molde 36.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.6%
23.9%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
24.4%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lillestrøm SK's performance.
Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Molde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm SK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Molde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Lillestrøm SK - Molde Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Molde will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 5. Foss S. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 11. Elkaer F. 21. Ottosson F. 22. Bassi D. 14. Nyheim G. 17. Kitolano E. 20. Felix Va 10. Olsen T.
22. Posiadala A. (G) 25. Linnes M. 19. Haugan E. 27. Dahl F. 8. Lovik M. 11. Zady C. 30. Daga D. 23. Granaas S. 16. Kilen S. 20. Lonebu K. 10. Breivik E. (C)
Substitutes
8. Gulbrandsen F. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 47. Kristiansen S. 18. Krygard K. 16. Melland H. 15. Nordh G. 3. Ottesen S. 26. Paintsil Y.
28. Bender V. 17. Daehli M. 43. Fugelsnes J. 26. Kabini S. 24. Kone-Doherty T. 12. Lervik P. (G) 32. Myklebust M. (G) 6. Odegard N. 33. Risa B. 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O.
Coaches
Odegaard H.
Tjelmeland S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Kilen S. ⚽, Lonebu K. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Felix Va ⚽, Bassi D. (A),
24', Granaas S. 🟨,
26', 1 - 2, Breivik E. ⚽,
37', Kilen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kilen S. ↓, Daehli M. ↑,
46', Ranger L. ↓, Ottesen S. ↑,
50', Linnes M. 🟨,
66', Elkaer F. ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
66', Bassi D. ↓, Gulbrandsen F. ↑,
67', Haugan E. ↓, Odegard N. ↑,
67', Lonebu K. ↓, Kone-Doherty T. ↑,
67', Linnes M. ↓, Bender V. ↑,
80', Daga D. 🟨,
80', Daga D. ↓, Risa B. ↑,
80', Kitolano E. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Foss S. ⚽,
88', Nyheim G. ↓, Ibrahimaj Y. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 1.
Lillestrøm has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Molde is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lillestrøm could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Molde is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Lillestrøm: Garnas E. B.
(Knee Injury)
Jebara C.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Molde: Diop S.
(Inactive)
Hansen S.
(Injury)
Hoff V.
(Knee Injury)
Kikkenborg M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stenevik H.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Molde: Abdullai J.
(Injury)
Hestad E.
(Leg Injury)
Risa B.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrøm has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:33 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lillestrøm against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.4 per game).
Norway
Ukraine
International
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Dahlberg P. (G) 
Ranger L. 
Elkaer F. 
Felix Va 
Posiadala A. (G) 
Zady C. 
Daga D. 
Ibrahimaj Y. 
Kabini S. 
Kone-Doherty T. 
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