Match Info

Prva Liga - FBiH - Round 22

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Čelik Zenica		TOŠK Tešanj

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.5	9.5
	1.28	4.55	9
	1.29	4.57	8.37
	1.29	4.81	8.92	Watch
	1.25	4.5	10
	1.3	4.75	10	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)	4.61 ↑ (3.85)	9.3 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Čelik Zenica
70.7%

Draw
19.6%

TOŠK Tešanj
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.4%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Čelik Zenica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Čelik Zenica's performance.

TOŠK Tešanj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Čelik Zenica than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TOŠK Tešanj than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Čelik Zenica - TOŠK Tešanj Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Masic A. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Sieh E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ WWIN Liga BiH and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Čelik Zenica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Čelik Zenica is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Čelik Zenica won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Čelik Zenica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	TOSK Tesanj	8	4	0	4	10:10	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Čelik Zenica
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
03.05.26	Vitez - Čelik Zenica	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Čelik Zenica - Jedinstvo Bihać	5:0 ✺
19.04.26	Stupčanica Olovo - Čelik Zenica	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Čelik Zenica - Bratstvo Gračanica	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Budućnost Banovići - Čelik Zenica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLTT
- TOŠK Tešanj
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
25.04.26	Tuzla City - TOŠK Tešanj	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	TOŠK Tešanj - Igman Konjic	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	TOŠK Tešanj - Vitez	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	TOŠK Tešanj - Stupčanica Olovo	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bratstvo Gračanica - TOŠK Tešanj	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
19.10.25	TOŠK Tešanj - Čelik Zenica	0:0
05.05.24	TOŠK Tešanj - Čelik Zenica	2:0
07.10.23	Čelik Zenica - TOŠK Tešanj	1:1

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