The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
İnegölspor 45.6%
Draw 28%
Ankaragücü 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
30.2%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
30.3%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İnegölspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İnegölspor's performance.
Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ankaragücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İnegölspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankaragücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
İnegölspor - Ankaragücü Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. İnegölspor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Ozan Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 1 - 1, Tepecik E. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Guner A. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
İnegölspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Ankaragücü has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İnegölspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, İnegölspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Ankaragücü - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.15%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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