Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Cherno More Varna

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7.25
	1.4	4.3	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.38	7.45
	1.39	4.30	8.56	Watch
	1.3	4.75	9.5
	1.42	4.55	8.45	Watch
	1.27	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.27)	4.57 ↓ (5.33)	7.9 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
67.9%

Draw
20.4%

Cherno More Varna
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

17.1%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	20.7%	3.4%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Cherno More will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Başakşehir (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Başakşehir (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Başakşehir (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 12 - 75%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 6. Bulut O. 5. Duarte L. 27. Ba O. 21. Operi C. 2. Ozdemir B. 13. Crespo M. 42. Sahiner O. (C) 7. Sari Y. 10. Da Costa N. 77. Brnic I.	33. Iliev P. (G) 8. Donchev A. 3. Atanasov Z. 4. Stefanov R. 28. Drobarov V. 2. Panov T. 99. Weslen Junior 71. Panayotov V. (C) 24. Teles D. 19. Lazarov G. 77. Sidney C.
Substitutes
1. Babacan V. (G) 17. Beyaz O. 34. Dilek Y. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 36. Ebosele F. 4. Ergun O. 20. Gunes U. 15. Gureler H. 8. Kemen O. 9. Selke D. 14. Shomurodov E. 23. Turuc D.	10. Chandarov A. 26. Joao Bandaro 11. Joao Pedro 22. Kostadinov N. 70. Manasiev A. (G) 27. Marinov P. 15. Martin D. 17. Milushev M. 20. Phellipe 81. Tomov K. (G) 23. Tonev D. 39. Zlatev N.
Coaches
Atan C.	Iliev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Brnic I. ⚽, Sari Y. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Crespo M. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Da Costa N. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
40', Weslen Junior 🟨,
42', Panov T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Weslen Junior ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
46', Stefanov R. ↓, Chandarov A. ↑,
46', Donchev A. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
58', Da Costa N. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
67', Sari Y. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
68', Brnic I. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
68', Sahiner O. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
72', Panayotov V. 🟨,
77', Ozdemir B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
79', Sidney C. ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Operi C. ⚽, Kemen O. (A),
90+2', Teles D. ↓, Tonev D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.

Recently, Cherno More has had a series of home games.

In this match, Başakşehir is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Başakşehir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
16.07.25	Reichenau - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:4 ✺
13.07.25	Hertha Berlin - İstanbul Başakşehir	Canceled ✺
09.07.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWW?T
- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.07.25	Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.07.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Cherno More Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	4:1 ✺
01.07.25	Cherno More Varna - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1

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