Match Info

efbet League - Conference League Group - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ticha (Varna)

Referee: Davidov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Cherno More Varna		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.6
	2.2	3.15	3.1	Watch
	2.31	3.31	3.32
	2.26	3.14	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.23	3.22	3.18	Watch
	2.33	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.24)	3.18 ↑ (3.13)	3.07 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Varna
40.7%

Draw
29.1%

Botev Plovdiv
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cherno More: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Tomov K. (G) 28. Drobarov V. 3. Atanasov Z. 26. Joao Bandaro 50. Tombak E. 29. Beyhan B. 10. Chandarov A. 71. Panayotov V. 13. Nyagolov E. 19. Lazarov G. 77. Sidney C.	29. Naumov D. (G) 22. Kwateng E. 87. Petrov S. 19. Conte A. 38. Balogiannis K. 14. Algarra C. 77. Lucas Araujo 90. Kalu S. 13. Tsonov S. 7. Iliev N. 30. Mascote
Substitutes
16. Calcan A. 8. Donchev A. 22. Kostadinov N. 70. Manasiev A. (G) 34. Mihaylov K. 4. Stefanov R. 24. Teles D. 93. Ventsislavov G. 39. Zlatev N.	88. Chimezie W. 23. Dorgu I. 27. Hein B. 28. Jocu H. 45. Martinho da Silva E. 44. Meotti C. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 41. Tindano Z. 42. Videv I.
Coaches
Iliev I.	Baltanov L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Sidney C. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Chandarov A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucas Araujo ↓, Martinho da Silva E. ↑,
46', Tsonov S. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
55', Balogiannis K. 🟨,
60', Sidney C. ↓, Donchev A. ↑,
73', Conte A. 🟨,
88', Conte A. ↓, Videv I. ↑,
89', Kwateng E. ↓, Tindano Z. ↑,
90+2', Martinho da Silva E. 🟨,
90+6', Atanasov Z. 🟨,
90+6', Mascote ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
90+11', Kalu S. 🟨,
90+17', 2 - 0, Donchev A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+19', Panayotov V. ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
90+19', Lazarov G. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
90+19', Beyhan B. ↓, Kostadinov N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 1.

Recent performances by Cherno More have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botev Plovdiv is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Botev Plovdiv: 0.43% Cherno More: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16:14	2	16
13	Cherno More	10	1	3	6	11:20	-9	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.05.26	Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Cherno More Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:4 ✺
09.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Cherno More Varna - Slavia Sofia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWLTL
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.05.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Botev Plovdiv	0:3 ✺
08.04.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.11.25	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	2:1
27.07.25	Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv	2:1
05.04.25	Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv	1:1
25.10.24	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	1:0
31.03.24	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	0:0
26.09.23	Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv	1:0
04.03.23	Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv	1:2

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