Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 32

Date: 1 May 2023, Monday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kalkavan M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	İstanbulspor		Giresunspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.14	3.45	3.15
	2.25	3.72	3.18
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.15	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.21	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.49)	3.55 ↑ (3.44)	3.07 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
42.9%

Draw
26.5%

Giresunspor
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbulspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

İstanbulspor - Giresunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Giresunspor will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 65.7% – 97.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

İstanbulspor has the most likely position - 15 (26.14%), project points - 38, currently - 29, a chance of relegated (32%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Giresunspor has the most likely position - 16 (33.4%), project points - 35, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (70%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 29, very big importance 94, match rating 61. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 1.

Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giresunspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

İstanbulspor will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Yesil M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Giresunspor: Arias R. (Back Injury) Bilazer H. (Back Injury) Mejia R. (Calf Injury) Perez A. (Elbow Injury) Savicevic V. (Muscle Injury) Senghor F. (Thigh Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Super League
24.04.23	Fenerbahçe - İstanbulspor	3:3 ✺
19.04.23	İstanbulspor - Antalyaspor	3:3 ✺
15.04.23	İstanbulspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ankaragücü - İstanbulspor	3:2 ✺
03.04.23	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLL
- Giresunspor
Turkish Super League
24.04.23	Giresunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:4 ✺
20.04.23	Ankaragücü - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
16.04.23	Giresunspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Beşiktaş - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Giresunspor - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
05.11.22	Giresunspor - İstanbulspor	3:2
Turkish First League
03.04.21	Giresunspor - İstanbulspor	0:0
28.11.20	İstanbulspor - Giresunspor	1:1
23.06.20	Giresunspor - İstanbulspor	2:1
15.09.19	İstanbulspor - Giresunspor	2:1
16.03.19	Giresunspor - İstanbulspor	0:0
21.10.18	İstanbulspor - Giresunspor	3:1

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