Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.87
	2.02	3.50	2.95
	2.02	3.69	2.96
	2.05	3.76	2.95	Watch
	1.97	3.65	2.90
	2.16	3.90	2.77	Watch
	1.79	3.51	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.79)	3.64 ↑ (3.51)	2.99 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
45%

Draw
24.8%

Warta Sieradz
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warta Sieradz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Krecichwost B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Zbikowski K. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Ruiz Benitez E. L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świt won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Świt might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Świt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20
9	Warta Sieradz	10	4	3	3	18:16	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWW
- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:4 ✺
19.08.26	Troszyn - Warta Sieradz	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Mławianka Mława	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:1
06.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:1
22.03.25	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:0
25.08.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	1:4
25.11.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:2
05.08.23	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2
22.04.23	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2

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