Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.50	2.45
	2.38	3.45	2.43
	2.27	3.49	2.60
	2.34	3.6	2.58	Watch
	2.20	3.45	2.55
	2.45	3.71	2.48	Watch
	2.94	3.55	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.73)	3.54 ↓ (3.57)	2.44 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
37.4%

Draw
25.6%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

24.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 0 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lidzbark Warmiński won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lidzbark Warmiński won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20
16	Lidzbark Warminski	11	2	3	6	16:22	-6	9

Last Results with these Odds

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 42.77%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Olimpia Elbląg	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Mławianka Mława - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.06.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Unia Skierniewice	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	ŁKS Łomża - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LTLWW
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.05.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1
12.10.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2

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