Match Info

HNL - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Šubićevac (Šibenik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Šibenik		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.42
	7.75	5	1.36	Watch
	7	4.4	1.43
	7.87	4.82	1.41
	7.07	4.39	1.44	Watch
	8.5	4.4	1.36
	7.13	4.41	1.45	Watch
	7	4.4	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.42 ↓ (9.07)	4.52 ↓ (5.27)	1.41 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šibenik
12.7%

Draw
20.8%

Dinamo Zagreb
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.4%

17.9%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9%

17%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	9.5%	85.7%

Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Dinamo Zagreb (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 - Dinamo Zagreb (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Filipovic I. (G) 5. Cvek L. 15. Agyemang M. 44. Zuta L. 43. Grzan S. 8. Bakic O. 21. Pozo I. 22. Kolega T. 36. Kavelj A. 11. Laca I. 18. Santini I. (C)	33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Ristovski S. (C) 15. Galesic N. 38. Franjic B. 18. Pierre-Gabriel R. 27. Misic J. 25. Sucic P. 20. Pjaca M. 7. Stojkovic L. 10. Baturina M. 17. Kulenovic S.
Substitutes
9. Bozic I. 1. Djakovic A. (G) 32. Durakovic E. 70. Jakolis A. 17. Koscevic Z. 27. Kulusic L. 3. Liu A. 7. Majic J. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 88. Prekodravac M. 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B.	5. Ademi A. 19. Cordoba J. 11. Hoxha A. 8. Kacavenda L. 16. Kanga W. 21. Mbuku N. 13. Mmaee S. 2. Moharrami S. 30. Rog M. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 4. Torrente R. 1. Zagorac D. (G)
Coaches
Vidovic R.	Perkovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
38', Franjic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Kolega T. ↓, Prekodravac M. ↑,
46', Bakic O. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Santini I. (Own goal),
62', Kavelj A. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
63', Pozo I. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
63', Stojkovic L. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Kacavenda L. (A),
74', Santini I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
76', Franjic B. ↓, Moharrami S. ↑,
76', Kulenovic S. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
76', Pjaca M. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
78', Sucic P. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Kanga W. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1.

Recent matches Šibenik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dinamo Zagreb is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Dinamo Zagreb is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Bockaj P. (Inactive) Theophile-Catherine K. (Inactive)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 9:35 (average 0.6:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
11.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Šibenik	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Šibenik - Osijek	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Šibenik - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Rijeka - Šibenik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLWT
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
12.04.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
07.02.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	3:0
01.11.24	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	0:4
16.08.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	3:0
14.05.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	4:0
Croatian Cup
05.04.23	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	2:1
Croatian HNL
11.03.23	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	2:1
06.11.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	3:0

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