Match Info

HNL - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas (Koprivnica)

Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Slaven Belupo		Šibenik

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	5.75
	1.62	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.6
	1.62	3.66	5.78	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.63	3.72	5.78	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	3.67 ↑ (3.67)	5.57 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slaven Belupo
57.7%

Draw
25.5%

Šibenik
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Slaven Belupo - Šibenik Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Šibenik will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slaven Belupo: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Slaven Belupo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Susak I. (G) 33. Bosec A. 6. Bozic T. (C) 4. Kovacic D. 35. Lucic L. 21. Crepulja L. 14. Liber A. 8. Jagusic A. 23. Lepinjica I. 27. Grgic A. 90. Nestorovski I.	40. Filipovic I. (G) 5. Cvek L. 15. Agyemang M. 44. Zuta L. 43. Grzan S. 8. Bakic O. 21. Pozo I. 32. Durakovic E. 36. Kavelj A. 9. Bozic I. 18. Santini I.
Substitutes
30. Agbekpornu M. 55. Boras M. 24. Bosnjak L. 10. Caimacov M. 32. Covic I. (G) 15. Cubelic I. 11. Dolcek I. 3. Jakir A. 18. Kruselj F. 13. Leskovic M. 2. Medjimorec V. 7. Sakota M.	1. Djakovic A. (G) 70. Jakolis A. 22. Kolega T. 17. Koscevic Z. 27. Kulusic L. 11. Laca I. 3. Liu A. 7. Majic J. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 88. Prekodravac M. 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B.
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Vidovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Filipovic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kavelj A. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
46', Durakovic E. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Lepinjica I. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
60', Liber A. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
65', Pozo I. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
65', Bozic I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
68', Lepinjica I. ↓, Agbekpornu M. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Kovacic D. ⚽, Jagusic A. (A),
84', Bozic T. ↓, Boras M. ↑,
85', Jagusic A. ↓, Caimacov M. ↑,
85', Santini I. ↓, Jakolis A. ↑,
87', Bosec A. 🟨,
90+1', Bakic O. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Slaven Belupo won 1.

Slaven Belupo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Šibenik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Šibenik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Slaven Belupo is a favorite.

There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Jesenovic M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Slaven Belupo to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Slaven Belupo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:20 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Slaven Belupo won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL
05.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
02.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	1:0 penalties ✺
Croatian HNL
29.03.25	Slaven Belupo - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Mura - Slaven Belupo	0:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
14.03.25	Gorica - Slaven Belupo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWWW
- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
06.04.25	Šibenik - Osijek	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Šibenik - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Rijeka - Šibenik	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Šibenik - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
01.02.25	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	1:1
Croatian Cup
16.11.24	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	1:2
Croatian HNL
25.10.24	Slaven Belupo - Šibenik	2:2
09.08.24	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	2:0
25.04.23	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	3:1
17.02.23	Slaven Belupo - Šibenik	0:1
14.10.22	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	0:2

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