Match Info

HNL - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Aldo Drosina (Pula)

Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Istra 1961		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	7.50	4.75	1.30
	7.25	5.50	1.33
	5.75	4.35	1.38
	8.55	5.65	1.33
	6.59	4.96	1.41	Watch
	8.10	5.55	1.30
	8.57	5.43	1.33	Watch
	7.40	5.20	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.46 ↑ (6.22)	5.17 ↑ (4.66)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istra 1961
12.4%

Draw
17.9%

Dinamo Zagreb
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

19.8%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

19.4%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolic F. (C) 44. Hrvatin R. 3. Nasraoui M. 16. Miettinen S. 13. Sepic N. 88. Doumbia D. 25. Albarracin G. 22. Frederiksen E. 20. Ahmeti D. 7. Rozic V. 94. Jaganjac H.	33. Nevistic I. (G) 25. Valincic M. 36. Dominguez S. 6. Radeljic S. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 27. Misic J. (C) 10. Stojkovic L. 80. Kacavenda L. 21. Lisica M. 11. Hoxha A. 9. Beljo D.
Substitutes
27. Celija D. 11. Gorican S. 9. Isaac 34. Kablar M. 97. Kadusic A. 4. Kumar R. 8. Mauric A. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 80. Saranic I. 30. Skafar Zuzic N. 24. Taraba F. 23. Ukich S.	44. Filipovic I. (G) 3. Goda B. 5. Kravtsov K. 26. McKenna S. 20. Mudrazija R. 77. Nsoki N. 99. Orsic M. 14. Prevljak S. 13. Tabinas P. 30. Topic F. 1. Zagorac D. (G) 8. Zajc M.
Coaches
Cabello J.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Jaganjac H. ⚽, Ahmeti D. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Beljo D. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Ahmeti D. ⚽, Frederiksen E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dominguez S. ↓, McKenna S. ↑,
62', Jaganjac H. 🟨,
62', Hoxha A. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
62', Stojkovic L. ↓, Kravtsov K. ↑,
62', Lisica M. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
67', Kacavenda L. 🟨,
70', Rozic V. ↓, Skafar Zuzic N. ↑,
73', Kacavenda L. ↓, Prevljak S. ↑,
76', Ahmeti D. ↓, Kumar R. ↑,
76', Albarracin G. ↓, Mauric A. ↑,
82', Cabello J. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Prevljak S. ⚽, Beljo D. (A),
90+2', Frederiksen E. ↓, Saranic I. ↑,
90+2', Nasraoui M. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
90+2', McKenna S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 2.

Istra 1961 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dinamo Zagreb is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Istra 1961 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Istra 1961: Momoh M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Theophile-Catherine K. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:44. (average 0.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17:14	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo Zagreb - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.33%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
23.08.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Lecce - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTLT
- Dinamo Zagreb
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Viking Stavanger - Dinamo Zagreb	3:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.08.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Viking Stavanger	2:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
14.08.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Rudeš	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
22.04.26	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2
14.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:0
09.11.25	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:1
23.08.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	3:0
05.04.25	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	3:0
25.01.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	3:1
19.10.24	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2

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