Match Info

Challenge League - Round 12

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Żebbuġ Rangers		Melita

	1	X	2
	11	5.9	1.17	Watch
	10.95	6.25	1.19	Watch
	13	5.5	1.18
	13.9	5.85	1.17
	12	5.5	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.17 ↑ (9.48)	5.8 ↑ (5.42)	1.17 ↓ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żebbuġ Rangers
7.4%

Draw
15.6%

Melita
77%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

16.8%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Mensah E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 0 - 2, Mohnani K. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Sammut L. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Cassar B. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 4, Yepez J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Żebbuġ is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Melita has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Melita is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Żebbuġ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Melita	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
16	Zebbug	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
11.01.26	Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	0:4 ✺
17.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Żurrieq	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Balzan - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:0 ✺
11.12.25	Mtarfa - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLL
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.01.26	Melita - Marsa	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Melita - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	St. Andrews - Melita	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Mġarr United - Melita	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
27.01.24	Melita - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1

Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide