Match Info

Challenge League - Round 5

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Żebbuġ Rangers		Melita

	1	X	2
	7.50	4.80	1.30
	8.20	4.70	1.27
	7.6	3.79	1.43	Watch
	6.50	4.55	1.27
	10.10	5.45	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↑ (5.32)	4.66 ↑ (4.3)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żebbuġ Rangers
11.3%

Draw
19.3%

Melita
69.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

21.3%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żebbuġ Rangers's form might have worsened.

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melita's recent form is better than expected.

Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Mensah E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 0 - 2, Mohnani K. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Diacono S. ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

The betting markets point to Melita as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Żebbuġ has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 1:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Żebbuġ against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:4 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
15	Zebbug	5	1	0	4	4:11	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
18.10.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Swieqi United	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Naxxar Lions - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Fgura United	0:4 ✺
18.04.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Marsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWLLT
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
17.10.26	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Attard - Melita	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Melita - Mġarr United	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gudja United - Melita	0:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
03.05.26	Melita - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
17.01.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita	1:4
27.01.24	Melita - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1

Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita