Match Info

Challenge League - Round 4

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Melita		Pietà Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.30	2.85
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.21	3.04	3.21	Watch
	2.03	3.2	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.19)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	3.09 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melita
42.7%

Draw
28.1%

Pietà Hotspurs
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Melita - Pietà Hotspurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Nwankwo U. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Bio E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Melita has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Melita against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:6 goals (averaging 1.5:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pieta	5	3	0	2	10:8	2	9
7	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Pietà Hotspurs - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 32.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.10.26	Attard - Melita	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Melita - Mġarr United	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gudja United - Melita	0:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
03.05.26	Melita - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
19.04.26	Balzan - Melita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLWLL
- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
11.10.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Tarxien Rainbows	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Swieqi United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Naxxar Lions	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Sirens - Pietà Hotspurs	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
08.03.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	1:0
30.11.25	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	3:1
09.03.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	0:1
24.09.23	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	2:2
29.09.17	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	0:5

Melita - Pietà Hotspurs