Match Info

Date: 9 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)


	Žalgiris		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.78
	4.5	3.8	1.78
	4.2	3.85	1.78
	4.6	3.89	1.78
	4.2	3.7	1.8	Watch
	4.3	3.9	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (4.88)	3.81 ↓ (4.1)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
21.8%

Draw
24.8%

Bodø Glimt
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

23.4%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22.6%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	15%	60%

Žalgiris - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 10 - 25%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 24 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 44.8% – 75.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-5.

Žalgiris is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bodø/Glimt is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Žalgiris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bodø/Glimt have a series of home games.

In this match Bodø/Glimt is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Žalgiris won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.08.22	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris	5:0 ✺
27.07.22	Malmö - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
19.07.22	Žalgiris - Malmö	1:0 ✺
12.07.22	Žalgiris - Ballkani	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37 WLWWW
- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Odd	7:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris	5:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.07.22	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.07.22	Bodø Glimt - Linfield	8:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.07.22	Bodø Glimt - Jerv	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris	5:0
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.08.21	Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris	1:0
19.08.21	Žalgiris - Bodø Glimt	2:2
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris	3:1

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