Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)


	Aalesunds		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.38
	6.25	4.6	1.35
	6.4	5.28	1.41
	6.97	4.96	1.39	Watch
	7	4.5	1.36
	7.41	5.25	1.36
	6.6	4.7	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↑ (5.78)	4.86 ↑ (4.18)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
13.6%

Draw
19%

Bodø Glimt
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21.2%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

22.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bodø Glimt (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Larsen T. (G) 2. Andresen M. 5. Kjelsen A. 45. Aukland P. 4. Haram S. 3. Gudmundsson O. 66. Seehusen J. 6. Hammer H. 15. Gregersen J. 9. Ngongo P. (C) 11. Johannsson D.	12. Haikin N. (G) 24. Jakobsen D. 2. Nielsen V. 6. Gundersen J. (C) 5. Aleesami H. 19. Fet S. 7. Berg P. 8. Auklend S. 27. Sorli S. 77. Bro Hansen M. 25. Maatta I.
Substitutes
29. Boe J. 1. Grytebust S. (G) 34. Gulbrandsen T. 19. Heiselberg F. 39. Lonebu K. 8. Melland H. 7. Nesso K. 27. Reed H. M. 37. Ronningen J.	15. Bjorkan F. 11. Blomberg O. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 26. Evjen H. 10. Hauge J. 9. Hogh K. 95. Kjaer J. 14. Saltnes U. 20. Sjovold F.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Knutsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Andresen M. 🟨,
43', Aukland P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jakobsen D. ↓, Sjovold F. ↑,
46', Bro Hansen M. ↓, Hauge J. ↑,
46', Maatta I. ↓, Hogh K. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Andresen M. ⚽,
64', Andresen M. ↓, Nesso K. ↑,
64', Gregersen J. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
70', Gudmundsson O. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
75', Auklend S. ↓, Evjen H. ↑,
75', Fet S. ↓, Saltnes U. ↑,
90', Ngongo P. 🟨,
90+5', Kjelsen A. 🟨,
90+6', Ngongo P. ↓, Gulbrandsen T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 0.

Aalesunds is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bodø Glimt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aalesunds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bodø Glimt is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:38. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Aalesunds - Raufoss	3:1 ✺
28.04.25	Åsane - Aalesunds	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Aalesunds	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sogndal - Aalesunds	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTW
- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Europa League
08.05.25	Bodø Glimt - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Bodø Glimt	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.04.25	Bodø Glimt - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Junkeren - Bodø Glimt	1:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.25	Molde - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
12.11.23	Bodø Glimt - Aalesunds	1:0
23.04.23	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	0:3
Club Friendly
10.03.23	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.07.22	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:2
26.06.22	Bodø Glimt - Aalesunds	2:0
08.11.20	Bodø Glimt - Aalesunds	7:0
12.07.20	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:6

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