Match Info

Date: 19 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)


	Žalgiris		Malmö

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.65	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.75
	5.35	3.4	1.75
	4.7	3.5	1.69
	5.62	3.77	1.65
	5	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.9	3.7	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (4.48)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
18.5%

Draw
26.5%

Malmö
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

25.4%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25.2%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	11.7%	80.9%

Žalgiris - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (76 of 94 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.9% – 88.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Žalgiris in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Malmö is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Malmö is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Žalgiris won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Žalgiris - Ballkani	1:0 ET ✺
05.07.22	Ballkani - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
01.07.22	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:1 ✺
26.06.22	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	0:5 ✺
22.06.22	Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.07.22	Norrköping - Malmö	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - Malmö	3:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.07.22	Malmö - Varbergs BoIS	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.07.22	Malmö - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.07.22	Sundsvall - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.07.15	Žalgiris - Malmö	0:1
15.07.15	Malmö - Žalgiris	0:0

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