Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frischer J. (Est)


	Željezničar Sarajevo		Neftchi Baku

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.45	3.05	3
	2.5	3.05	2.9
	2.52	3.06	2.94
	2.54	3.04	2.96
	2.55	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.28)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Željezničar Sarajevo
37.5%

Draw
30.6%

Neftchi Baku
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Željezničar Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	57.1%	21.4%

Željezničar Sarajevo - Neftchi Baku Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Željezničar will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Neftchi will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mulalic A. (G) 24. Galic M. 19. Drina A. 5. Kosoric A. (C) 33. Jasarevic I. 18. Biber E. 8. Mekic N. 26. Amoah J. 7. Krpic S. 17. Drljo A. 9. Haracic D.	1. Brkic I. (G) 26. Buludov O. 44. Yuri Matias 4. Tamas M. 7. Aliev A. 23. Jaber A. 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 14. Israfilov E. 5. Saief K. 10. Ozobic F. 11. Lebon K.
Substitutes
23. Beca O. 6. Cocalic E. 30. Dubackic D. 11. Gasal H. 13. Muftic V. (G) 3. Music A. 77. Ovcina H. 4. Pasic A. 28. Semdin A. 14. Stilic S. 21. Turanjanin N.	37. Alibayli E. 77. Bogomolskiy E. 93. Cafarov R. (G) 17. Hadzhiyev R. 3. Haqverdi H. 99. Koffi E. 30. Mammadov A. (G) 19. Salahly A. 27. Yusifli F. 21. Zulfugarli I.
Coaches
Basic N.	Mutu A.

Preview

1st leg.

Željezničar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neftchi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Željezničar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Željezničar have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Željezničar to win the game is with odds 2.48.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Željezničar Sarajevo
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Dinamo Minsk - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
13.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Dinamo Minsk	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sutjeska	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWT?
- Neftchi Baku
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Spartak Moscow - Neftchi Baku	2:0 ✺
15.07.23	Neftchi Baku - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
08.07.23	Neftchi Baku - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
01.07.23	Zenit - Neftchi Baku	3:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.06.23	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
31.10.26	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zrinjski Mostar	✺

Željezničar Sarajevo - Neftchi Baku