Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Neftci Arena (Baku)

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Neftchi Baku		Gabala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.95	Watch
	1.6	3.57	5.95
	1.65	3.59	4.99	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.66	3.56	5.45	Watch
	1.57	3.33	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	5.35 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
56.5%

Draw
26.4%

Gabala
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Neftchi Baku - Gabala Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Neftchi Baku will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Neftchi Baku will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piric K. (G) 15. Badalov E. 11. Faraj I. 17. Khachayev M. 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 47. Mammadov M. 18. Mathew I. 77. Sacko F. 7. Safarov E. 9. Sambou B. 24. Seck M.	93. Cafarov R. (G) 27. Ahmadov E. 24. Akinade I. 16. Amoah I. 33. Keita S. 14. Massoumou D. J. 28. Musayev M. (C) 30. Owusu P. 66. Rashidov N. 10. Shahniyarov S. 6. Sierra J.
Substitutes
45. Aboubakar V. 1. Balayev E. (G) 4. Camalov E. 27. Costin C. 28. Curci A. 81. Hasanov M. (G) 14. Kuc E. 22. Ortiz L. 23. Rezabala J. 19. Salyanskiy A. 70. Shtogrin A.	1. Agayev S. (G) 13. Aliyev N. 50. Ba Loua A. 74. Damadayev S. 3. Eduardo Kunde 94. Hushanov H. (G) 22. Iskandarov F. 11. Mammadov A. 7. Manafov T. 70. Quimbila P. 12. Sangare I. 21. Shakarkhanov Z.
Coaches
Vernidub Y.	Tskhadadze K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Mahmudov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Eduardo Kunde ↑,
46', Mammadov M. ↓, Shtogrin A. ↑,
50', Sambou B. 🟨,
53', Shtogrin A. 🟨,
60', Musayev M. ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
61', Safarov E. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
73', Mathew I. ↓, Kuc E. ↑,
76', Ahmadov E. ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
76', Rashidov N. ↓, Manafov T. ↑,
78', Badalov E. 🟨,
83', Piric K. 🟨,
84', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
88', Mahmudov E. ↓, Camalov E. ↑,
88', Faraj I. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
90+1', Badalov E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 5.

Gabala is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gabala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neftchi is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:14. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftci Baku	6	5	0	1	18:5	13	15
8	Gabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.02.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Neftchi Baku	0:4 ✺
23.01.26	Neftchi Baku - Zira	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Karvan - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
15.12.25	Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit	2:2 ✺
08.12.25	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTL
- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Cup
04.02.26	Sabah - Gabala	0:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.01.26	Gabala - İmişli	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Shamakhi - Gabala	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Gabala - Kapaz	3:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.12.25	Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
26.10.25	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:2
29.03.24	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:1
28.01.24	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	3:1
05.11.23	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:2
27.08.23	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	2:0
Azerbaijan Cup
03.06.23	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	0:1 ET
Azerbaijan Premier League
14.04.23	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	1:2

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