Match Info

SLOVAKIA: NIKE LIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Štadión MŠK Žilina (Žilina)

Referee: Gemzicky E. (Svk)


	Žilina		Zlaté Moravce-Vrable

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.4
	1.72	4.04	4.56
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.72	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)	3.85 ↑ (3.83)	4.37 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žilina
54.7%

Draw
24.1%

Zlaté Moravce-Vrable
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

23.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Zlaté Moravce-Vrable has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlaté Moravce-Vrable than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Žilina - Zlaté Moravce Vrable Predictions

Users Predictions: Žilina will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Belko L. (G) 23. Minarik J. (C) 18. Stojchevski A. 25. Nemcik T. 66. Rusnak M. 16. Ilko P. 37. Sauer M. 20. Bari K. 8. Essomba L. 29. Duris D. 7. Myslovic P.	1. Slavik M. (G) 22. Sula S. 39. Mosko M. 25. Nagy R. 90. Conka M. (C) 6. Gono M. 14. Duga D. 11. Svec J. 16. Mondek K. 7. Cerepkai R. 8. Weir J.
Substitutes
13. Addo H. 22. Belanik S. (G) 14. Bille E. 11. Gidi S. 21. Gomola M. 27. Javorcek D. 33. Kopas A. 3. Leitner P.	29. Brenkus A. 26. Dubek T. 12. Kolembus K. 2. Majdan V. 9. Mijic P. 10. Nsumoh J. 33. Richter P. (G) 30. Starecek R. 3. Tumma G.
Coaches
Hynek J.	Cifranic V.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Nike liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Nike liga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Žilina won 4.

Recent matches Žilina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zlaté Moravce is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zlaté Moravce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Žilina is a favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Žilina won 20 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 63-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Žilina won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 51-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSK Žilina
Slovak Cup
23.08.23	Liptovská Teplá - Žilina	1:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
19.08.23	MFK Košice - Žilina	0:3 ✺
12.08.23	Žilina - Trenčín	5:2 ✺
06.08.23	Podbrezová - Žilina	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Žilina - Gent	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL
- FC Zlaté Moravce-Vrable
Slovak Superliga
20.08.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - DAC Dunajská Streda	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Podbrezová - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Skalica - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Pohronie	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
28.10.22	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Žilina	4:0
13.08.22	Žilina - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:0
30.10.21	Žilina - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:1
01.08.21	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Žilina	0:1
28.05.21	Žilina - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	3:2 ET
22.05.21	Žilina - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	5:1
18.04.21	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Žilina	1:0

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