Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Štadión MŠK Žilina (Žilina)

Referee: Muntean D. (Mda)


	Žilina		Gent

	1	X	2
	5.5	5	1.44	Watch
	5.75	4.75	1.41
	6.4	4.75	1.43
	6	4.75	1.45
	6.46	4.65	1.46
	6.55	4.9	1.42	Watch
	6.4	5.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (5.25)	4.86 ↑ (4.2)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žilina
15.3%

Draw
19.3%

Gent
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

21.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	5.9%	64.7%

Žilina - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Žilina will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Gent will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Belko L. (G) 3. Leitner P. 23. Minarik J. 25. Nemcik T. (C) 66. Rusnak M. 37. Sauer M. 11. Gidi S. 20. Bari K. 10. Kapralik A. 19. Jambor T. 29. Duris D.	1. Nardi P. (G) 14. Castro-Montes A. 5. Kandouss I. 4. Watanabe T. 25. Fortuna N. 13. De Sart J. (C) 8. Gerkens P. 17. Hjulsager A. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 19. Fofana M. 10. Tissoudali T.
Substitutes
6. Adang X. 13. Addo H. 22. Belanik S. (G) 14. Bille E. 8. Essomba Bikoula A. L. 21. Gomola M. 16. Ilko P. 33. Kopas A. 4. Kopasek S. 7. Myslovic P. 17. Ndjeungoue J. W. 18. Stojchevski A.	22. Agbor B. 11. Cuypers H. 32. De Ridder N. 30. De Schrevel C. (G) 26. Fortin L. (G) 24. Kums S. 15. Lagae B. 20. Orban G. 18. Samoise M. 31. Stevens Y. 23. Torunarigha J.
Coaches
Hynek J.	Vanhaezebrouck H.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-5.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Žilina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gent is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Žilina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSK Žilina
Slovak Superliga
30.07.23	Žilina - Ružomberok	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Gent - Žilina	5:1 ✺
20.07.23	Levadia Tallinn - Žilina	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Žilina - Baník Ostrava	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Žilina - Levadia Tallinn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTW
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.07.23	Gent - Kortrijk	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Gent - Žilina	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Gent - Zulte Waregem	4:2 ✺
15.07.23	Volendam - Gent	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Gent - Žilina	5:1

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