Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 17

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	1 Dezembro		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2	2.75	3.8
	2	2.88	4.34
	1.89	3.13	4
	2.03	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)	3 ↓ (3.03)	3.8 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
45.9%

Draw
30.2%

Sertanense
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

28.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs) and 9 in the zone Relegation).

1 Dezembro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sertanense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

1 Dezembro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches 1 Dezembro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Alcains - 1 Dezembro	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	1 Dezembro - Loures	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Coruchense - 1 Dezembro	2:2 ✺
17.12.22	1 Dezembro - Sintrense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTW
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Sertanense - Mortágua	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	União da Serra - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Sertanense - Arronches Benfica	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Alcains - Sertanense	0:3 ✺
18.12.22	Sertanense - Loures	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.10.22	Sertanense - 1 Dezembro	1:2

1 Dezembro - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide