Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 5

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Pero Pinheiro		1 Dezembro

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.61	3.1	2.91
	2.61	3.1	2.91
	2.41	3.06	2.74
	2.35	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.16)	3.09 ↑ (3.09)	2.79 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pero Pinheiro
37.4%

Draw
29.7%

1 Dezembro
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

30.9%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pero Pinheiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pero Pinheiro's performance.

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 1 Dezembro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pero Pinheiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 1 Dezembro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pero Pinheiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). 1 Dezembro will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 6. Hilario J. (C) 66. Antunes B. 4. Rodeia M. 17. Pinheiro L. 27. Pedrosa A. 50. Varela F. 7. Ze Maria 23. Diomande I. 30. Bissula M. 72. Chiquinho	24. Marcelino R. (G) 21. Lobo Y. 3. Henriques D. 4. Luis R. 23. Lisandro Menezes 32. Laton 60. Marques R. 11. Batalha R. 8. Herrera J. 7. Manel Liz (C) 9. Morais G.
Substitutes
11. Bastos F. 5. Figueroa J. 10. Galamba A. 22. Loureiro T. 32. Miguel Verissimo 19. Oliveira K. 99. Osei S. 26. Pires D. 1. Soares M. (G)	30. Balde U. 55. Coelho D. 19. Gracio D. 10. Joao Araujo V. S. 39. Moreno J. 1. Passos C. (G) 6. Santos T. 80. Silva B. 33. Simoes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Varela F. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Diomande I. ⚽,
27', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
35', Morais G. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽,
44', Varela F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Manel Liz ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Manel Liz ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
83', Hilario J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pero Pinheiro won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Pero Pinheiro won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Pero Pinheiro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pero Pinheiro
Portuguese Liga 3
10.03.24	Pero Pinheiro - Amora	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Pero Pinheiro - Oliveira Hospital	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Pero Pinheiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWL
- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.24	Oliveira Hospital - 1 Dezembro	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	1:4 ✺
25.02.24	1 Dezembro - Amora	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Oliveira Hospital - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
03.12.23	1 Dezembro - Pero Pinheiro	1:1
19.08.23	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.05.23	1 Dezembro - Pero Pinheiro	1:0
07.05.23	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	0:0
18.09.22	1 Dezembro - Pero Pinheiro	4:0
21.02.21	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	2:2

Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide