PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9
Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday
Sertanense
Arronches Benfica
1
X
2
2.4
2.95
2.7
2.43
3.05
2.75
2.52
2.81
2.88
2.41
3.02
2.76
2.43
3.05
2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.44 ↓ (3.17)
2.98 ↓ (3.1)
2.77 ↑ (2.17)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sertanense 37%
Draw 30.3%
Arronches Benfica 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
29.4%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
28.5%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sertanense's performance.
Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arronches Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertanense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arronches Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sertanense - Arronches Benfica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Sertanense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Arronches Benfica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1