Match Info

Date: 13 October 2021, Wednesday


	1860 Rosenheim		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.5	1.36
	8.35	4.4	1.3
	6	4.8	1.4
	6.9	4.22	1.37
	5	3.9	1.55
	6.8	4.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.63 ↑ (5.32)	4.46 ↑ (4.23)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 Rosenheim
13.8%

Draw
20.6%

Illertissen
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

21.7%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

18%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 Rosenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 Rosenheim than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illertissen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	6.7%	70%

1860 Rosenheim - Illertissen Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rosenheim will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Illertissen will win (votes: 21 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Illertissen: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Rosenheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Illertissen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Illertissen is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rosenheim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Rosenheim won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 Rosenheim
German Regionalliga Bayern
09.10.21	1860 Rosenheim - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Schweinfurt - 1860 Rosenheim	8:0 ✺
24.09.21	1860 Rosenheim - Bayreuth	1:5 ✺
11.09.21	Unterhaching - 1860 Rosenheim	5:4 ✺
03.09.21	1860 Rosenheim - Schalding-Heining	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
08.10.21	Illertissen - Heimstetten	4:1 ✺
02.10.21	Bayreuth - Illertissen	4:2 ✺
24.09.21	Illertissen - Augsburg II	4:0 ✺
10.09.21	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	2:4 ✺
03.09.21	Unterhaching - Illertissen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
23.11.19	1860 Rosenheim - Illertissen	1:0
27.07.19	Illertissen - 1860 Rosenheim	5:3
04.05.19	1860 Rosenheim - Illertissen	3:4
13.10.18	Illertissen - 1860 Rosenheim	0:2
01.05.18	Illertissen - 1860 Rosenheim	3:2
04.08.17	1860 Rosenheim - Illertissen	1:1
28.04.17	Illertissen - 1860 Rosenheim	2:3

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