Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Illertissen		Augsburg II

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.05	3.85
	1.74	4.37	4.05
	1.7	3.95	3.88
	1.94	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)	4.04 ↑ (3.6)	3.78 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
52.4%

Draw
23%

Augsburg II
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

23.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illertissen's performance.

Augsburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illertissen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg II than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Augsburg II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Illertissen - Augsburg II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Dardari A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 0 - 2, Hammerle M. ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, Dardari A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 2.

Recent performances by Illertissen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Augsburg II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Augsburg II has had a series of away games.

Illertissen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Illertissen won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
13.09.25	Vilzing - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
09.09.25	Memmingen - Illertissen	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	4:1 ✺
22.08.25	Illertissen - Unterhaching	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Illertissen - Nürnberg	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLLW
- Augsburg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
12.09.25	Ansbach - Augsburg II	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Aubstadt - Augsburg II	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Würzburger Kickers - Augsburg II	3:4 ✺
23.08.25	Augsburg II - Vilzing	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Nürnberg II - Augsburg II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
08.11.24	Illertissen - Augsburg II	0:0
26.07.24	Augsburg II - Illertissen	0:0
30.03.24	Augsburg II - Illertissen	2:2
15.09.23	Illertissen - Augsburg II	3:1
25.02.23	Augsburg II - Illertissen	1:2
12.08.22	Illertissen - Augsburg II	1:5
23.04.22	Augsburg II - Illertissen	4:0

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