Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	24 Erzincanspor		Kastamonuspor

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.2	2.38
	2.96	3.34	2.23
	2.86	3.3	2.24
	2.36	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.35)	3.24 ↓ (3.26)	2.4 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

24 Erzincanspor
33.5%

Draw
28.3%

Kastamonuspor
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

24 Erzincanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Kastamonuspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 24 Erzincanspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kastamonuspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Dogan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Yilmaz H. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Recent form of 24 Erzincanspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Kastamonuspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 24 Erzincanspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, 24 Erzincanspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League White Group
05.10.25	Şanlıurfaspor - 24 Erzincanspor	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	24 Erzincanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	24 Erzincanspor - Batman Petrolspor	0:4 ✺
07.09.25	Altınordu - 24 Erzincanspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLW
- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League White Group
05.10.25	Kastamonuspor - Iskenderunspor	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Erbaaspor - Kastamonuspor	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Kastamonuspor - İnegölspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Kastamonuspor - Fatsa Belediyespor	3:4 penalties ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
13.09.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Kastamonuspor	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
13.04.25	24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor	2:2
30.11.24	Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor	2:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.01.24	24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor	2:1
03.09.23	Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor	2:0
Turkish Cup
30.10.19	Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:2 penalties

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