Match Info

Date: 18 November 2020, Wednesday


	24 Erzincanspor		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	5	2.8	1.8
	4.5	3.2	1.66
	4.5	2.95	1.83
	4.98	2.92	1.9
	4.3	3.72	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.5)	3.12 ↓ (3.82)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

24 Erzincanspor
19.6%

Draw
29.2%

Manisa FK
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.1%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

19.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

24 Erzincanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manisa FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

24 Erzincanspor - Manisa FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to 2. Lig Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion to 1. Lig).

24 Erzincanspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Manisa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

24 Erzincanspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Manisa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League White Group
14.11.20	Sarıyer - 24 Erzincanspor	1:0 ✺
11.11.20	24 Erzincanspor - Gümüşhanespor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.11.20	Menemenspor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:2 penalties
Turkish Second League White Group
31.10.20	Zonguldak Kömürspor - 24 Erzincanspor	0:0 ✺
28.10.20	24 Erzincanspor - Hacettepe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTW
- Manisa FK
Turkish Second League White Group
14.11.20	Manisa FK - Kahramanmaraşspor	3:1 ✺
11.11.20	Amed SK - Manisa FK	3:4 ✺
31.10.20	Manisa FK - Sancaktepe Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
28.10.20	Ankara Demirspor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
21.10.20	Manisa FK - Ergene Velimeşe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWT

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