Match Info

1. Lig - Round 31

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.25	4.83	11.26
	1.27	5.91	9.58
	1.27	5.74	9.32	Watch
	1.29	5	9
	1.23	5.45	9.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	5.41 ↑ (4.96)	9.55 ↑ (7.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
73.3%

Draw
17%

Manisa FK
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.7%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

18%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Amed SK - Manisa FK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kardesler E. (C) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 34. Syrota O. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 6. Ustundag C. 5. Kurt S. 33. Afena-Gyan F. 20. Hasani F. 22. Dimitrov Z. 45. Diagne M.	1. Karakus V. (C) 45. Karapo A. 4. Herelle C. 2. Talum Y. 19. Erdem U. 11. Adekanye B. 27. Gureler Y. 10. Lindseth J. 23. Kiprit M. 20. Benrahou Y. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
14. Bassan E. 10. Cekdar O. 1. Damlu A. (G) 47. Demirtas K. 77. Hanalp C. 27. Moreno D. 4. Mujde A. 91. Saba D. 15. Serbest T. 11. Traore A.	21. Akboga E. 77. Can Aslan U. 80. Colak B. 36. Colak Y. 24. Dursun Y. 13. Ibik A. 17. Kahraman O. 65. Sen A. 7. Vargas A. 29. Yurtdas O.
Coaches
Bakkal M.	Pektas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Kaldirim H. A. ↓, Hanalp C. ↑,
43', Gureler Y. ↓, Ibik A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Dimitrov Z. 🟨,
62', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
66', Kiprit M. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
66', Yesil M. 🟨,
66', Lindseth J. 🟨,
70', Hasani F. ↓, Saba D. ↑,
70', Ustundag C. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
75', Vargas A. 🟥,
77', Talum Y. ↓, Dursun Y. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽, Saba D. (A),
86', Ucar M. 🟨,
90', Adekanye B. 🟨,
90+1', Kurt S. 🟨,
90+3', Diagne M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 10).

Amed is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Manisa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Amed may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Amed is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Amed: Demir D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Amed: Yesil M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Manisa: Adekanye B. (Injury)

We predict that Amed will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amed won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 2.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Amed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
11.03.26	İstanbulspor - Amed SK	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Amed SK - Serik Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Amed SK - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWT
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
10.03.26	Manisa FK - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Erzurumspor - Manisa FK	8:1 ✺
02.03.26	Manisa FK - Çorum	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Bodrumspor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
02.11.25	Manisa FK - Amed SK	0:3
08.04.25	Manisa FK - Amed SK	2:2
30.11.24	Amed SK - Manisa FK	3:2
Turkish Second League White Group
11.11.20	Amed SK - Manisa FK	3:4
24.11.19	Manisa FK - Amed SK	3:0

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