Match Info

PARAGUAY: DIVISION INTERMEDIA - ROUND 14

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	3 de Febrero		12 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	6.75
	1.42	3.7	7.5
	1.45	3.8	6.76
	1.45	3.9	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.43)	3.85 (3.85)	6.9 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

3 de Febrero
63.4%

Draw
23.5%

12 de Octubre
13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

21%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for 3 de Febrero have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for 12 de Octubre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 3 de Febrero than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 3 de Febrero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 12 de Octubre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

3 de Febrero - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches 3 de Febrero won 1.

Recent matches 3 de Febrero is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

12 de Octubre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

12 de Octubre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently 3 de Febrero have a series of home games.

In this match 3 de Febrero is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches 3 de Febrero won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams 3 de Febrero won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético 3 de Febrero
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.06.23	2 de Mayo - 3 de Febrero	1:0 ✺
09.06.23	3 de Febrero - Martín Ledesma	2:1 ✺
26.05.23	3 de Febrero - Fernando de la Mora	0:2 ✺
22.05.23	3 de Febrero - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
18.05.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 3 de Febrero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.06.23	12 de Octubre - Independiente Asuncion	2:3 ✺
10.06.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 12 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Pastoreo - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	12 de Octubre - Deportivo Santaní	2:3 ✺
17.05.23	Colegiales - 12 de Octubre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
16.09.21	3 de Febrero - 12 de Octubre	0:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.10.14	3 de Febrero - 12 de Octubre	0:2
09.08.14	12 de Octubre - 3 de Febrero	1:1
14.05.14	12 de Octubre - 3 de Febrero	1:1
01.03.14	3 de Febrero - 12 de Octubre	3:2

3 de Febrero - 12 de Octubre

Match Info

Current Win Probability

3 de Febrero - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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