The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
4 de Julho 73.2%
Draw 17.3%
Flamengo Piauí 9.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.5%
20.1%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
79.1%
17.2%
10.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
4 de Julho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 4 de Julho's performance.
Flamengo Piauí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 4 de Julho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo Piauí than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Piauiense (Play Offs) and 8 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches 4 de Julho won 0.
4 de Julho is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Flamengo Piauí has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
4 de Julho could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match 4 de Julho is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches 4 de Julho won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.
Including matches at home between the teams 4 de Julho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.