Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	4 de Julho		Penarol

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4 de Julho
47.7%

Draw
27.2%

Penarol
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

22.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

4 de Julho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Penarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penarol than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penarol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches 4 de Julho is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Penarol is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

4 de Julho will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches 4 de Julho won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 4 de Julho EC
Brazilian Serie D
12.09.21	Penarol - 4 de Julho	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	4 de Julho - SE Juventude	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Imperatriz de Desportos - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	4 de Julho - Palmas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWL
- Penarol AC
Brazilian Serie D
12.09.21	Penarol - 4 de Julho	1:0 ✺
05.09.21	Penarol - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	2:1 ✺
29.08.21	Castanhal - Penarol	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	Penarol - Fast Clube	2:1 ✺
15.08.21	Galvez - Penarol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTWW

Brazilian Serie D
12.09.21	Penarol - 4 de Julho	1:0

4 de Julho - Penarol