Match Info
Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
4 de Julho |
|
Penarol |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.87 |
3.25 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.87 |
3.25 |
3.45 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.29 |
3.46 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.26 |
3.9 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↑ (1.77) |
3.31 ↓ (3.41) |
3.6 ↓ (3.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
4 de Julho 47.7% | Draw 27.2% | Penarol 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
4 de Julho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Penarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 4 de Julho that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penarol than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penarol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.4 de Julho - Penarol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1. Recent matches 4 de Julho is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Penarol is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4). 4 de Julho will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches 4 de Julho won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;