Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 8

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	ABC		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.11	8.5	19
	1.15	6.25	11
	1.08	7.99	19.36
	1.07	7.5	21
	1.06	10.25	24	Watch
	1.1	7.6	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.32)	8.02 ↑ (4.7)	18.73 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
83.7%

Draw
11.4%

Fluminense Piaui
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

19.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

18.2%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABC's performance.

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense Piaui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense Piaui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

ABC - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Fluminense PI will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 8).

ABC is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fluminense PI is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ABC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match ABC is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Copa do Brasil
16.03.23	Vasco da Gama - ABC	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
11.03.23	ABC - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.03.23	CRB Maceio - ABC	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	ABC - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Tuntum - ABC	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWLWW
- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
18.03.23	Altos - Fluminense Piaui	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.03.23	Fluminense Piaui - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
12.03.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ríver PI	0:1 ✺
08.03.23	Fluminense Piaui - Parnahyba	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.23	Sergipe - Fluminense Piaui	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLTL

ABC - Fluminense Piaui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide